Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.201140 0.226424 0.253054 0.283135 0.316110 0.351097 0.390967
2025-05-25 0.166052 0.200033 0.237785 0.282634 0.334250 0.391578 0.459842
2025-06-01 0.141119 0.180377 0.226048 0.282674 0.350537 0.428773 0.525279
2025-06-08 0.121712 0.164197 0.215720 0.282065 0.364427 0.462468 0.587069
2025-06-15 0.109379 0.154859 0.212082 0.288242 0.385699 0.504903 0.660244
2025-06-22 0.096924 0.143736 0.204734 0.288476 0.398688 0.536888 0.721118
2025-06-29 0.086422 0.133926 0.197900 0.288293 0.410364 0.566932 0.779952
2025-07-06 0.077528 0.125303 0.191685 0.288043 0.421313 0.595820 0.837698
2025-07-13 0.070984 0.119307 0.188416 0.291233 0.436540 0.630370 0.903504
2025-07-20 0.066557 0.115952 0.188473 0.298787 0.457718 0.673232 0.981360
2025-07-27 0.061215 0.110626 0.185133 0.301017 0.471206 0.705764 1.045934
2025-08-03 0.057468 0.107431 0.184632 0.307163 0.490249 0.746271 1.122309
2025-08-10 0.054375 0.105175 0.185612 0.315866 0.513828 0.794608 1.212124
2025-08-17 0.049236 0.098979 0.179935 0.313989 0.521581 0.820635 1.271335
2025-08-24 0.044892 0.093709 0.175298 0.313324 0.530914 0.849008 1.334486
2025-08-31 0.040930 0.088701 0.170672 0.312282 0.539422 0.876216 1.396492
2025-09-07 0.038694 0.086634 0.170785 0.318793 0.559716 0.921247 1.485445
2025-09-14 0.035597 0.082613 0.167215 0.318937 0.569848 0.951218 1.552855
2025-09-21 0.032733 0.078737 0.163583 0.318679 0.579164 0.980038 1.619090
2025-09-28 0.030127 0.075102 0.160087 0.318375 0.588247 1.008581 1.685431
2025-10-05 0.028261 0.072795 0.158835 0.321823 0.603488 1.046924 1.767399
2025-10-12 0.027144 0.071967 0.160266 0.330016 0.626810 1.098405 1.870539
2025-10-19 0.025401 0.069587 0.158554 0.332431 0.640414 1.134813 1.951170